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Updated: 05-Jun-26 11:18 ET
lululemon athletica Under Pressure as Soft Guidance Shows Turnaround Still Has Work to Do (LULU)

lululemon athletica (LULU) is trading sharply lower after a modest Q1 beat was overshadowed by weak Q2 guidance, a full-year cut, and signs that the North America recovery is moving in the wrong direction. Q1 EPS of $1.69 beat by a penny, while revenue of $2.47 bln also beat, but comp sales increased just 1%, or declined 2% in CC, decelerating from +3%, or +2% in CC, in Q4. LULU also guided Q2 EPS and revenue well below expectations and lowered its FY26 EPS outlook to $10.95-11.15 from $12.10-12.30. Management said sales moderated exiting Q1 and into Q2, pressured by negative brand commentary, softer traffic, and product launches that did not meet expectations.

  • North America: Q1 revenue in North America fell 3%, with comparable sales down 6% CC, marking a deceleration from the -2% CC comp decline in Q4. Management expects North America revenue to decline in the low double digits in Q2 and is now guiding for a high-single-digit decline for the full year, compared with its prior low-single-digit decline outlook.
  • Margin drivers: Q1 product margin fell 330 bps, driven predominantly by tariffs and markdowns; Q2 gross margin is expected to decline another ~410 bps yr/yr, including a ~150 bps tariff hit partly offset by ~100 bps of mitigation and markdowns up ~50 bps.
  • International bright spot: China Mainland remains the main bright spot, with Q1 revenue up 30% and comparable sales up 13%. Management still expects China revenue to rise in the mid- to high-teens in Q2 and about 20% for 2026, while Rest of World is expected to grow in the mid-teens for the year.
  • Traffic and product: Management said the recent slowdown was driven mainly by lower traffic over the last 6-7 weeks, with some pressure on conversion. The weakness was broad-based across the product assortment, while some launches failed to generate the expected guest response or create a broader halo effect.
  • Response plan: Lululemon is increasing marketing spend by roughly 10%-15% to about 6%-6.5% of sales, reducing in-store SKU density by about 15%, chasing 20% more volume into winning styles, and continuing buybacks after repurchasing about 2.2 mln shares in Q1 at an average price of $165.

Briefing.com Analyst Insight

This was not the start to the year that LULU or investors were likely looking for. While the company posted a modest Q1 beat, comps remained soft, North America decelerated, and the more concerning takeaway is that product newness is not resonating broadly enough with customers or creating the brand halo management expected. That is notable because product newness, healthier full-price selling, and cleaner inventory were supposed to be the early signs that the turnaround was starting to take hold. The proxy fight is now largely behind LULU, but negative brand commentary also weighed on traffic, adding another layer of uncertainty around brand momentum. At the same time, Heidi O'Neill does not take over as CEO until September, meaning investors still do not have a clear view of what the next phase of the reset will look like. The sharp guidance cut only adds to that uncertainty, as weaker North America trends, rising clearance needs, and continued margin pressure suggest the turnaround may require more time and investment than previously expected. International remains a bright spot, especially China, but this report makes it harder to argue that the recovery is gaining traction ahead of the leadership transition.

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