Story Stocks®

Updated: 06-Mar-26 10:39 ET
Costco leverages its membership machine, tariff agility, and digital surge for Q2 EPS beat (COST)
Costco Wholesale (COST) posted a solid Q2 beat on the bottom line, driven by robust membership momentum, double-digit digital growth, and resilient traffic despite a fluid tariff environment. While total revenue was largely in line with expectations, the company’s ability to flex its "pricing authority" allowed it to edge past EPS estimates. Most notably, adjusted comparable sales (excluding gas and FX) grew 6.7%, surpassing the FactSet consensus of 6.3%, signaling that COST continues to capture wallet share even as it laps significant membership fee increases and navigates shifting commodity prices.
  • Q2 net sales rose 9.1% to $68.24 bln, supported by a 3.1% increase in worldwide shopping frequency and a 4.2% jump in average ticket. 
  • Membership metrics remain the company’s "North Star," with fee income climbing 13.6% to $1.355 bln. The September 2024 fee increase contributed roughly one-third of this growth, while the remainder was fueled by a 4.8% increase in total paid members (reaching 82.1 mln) and a 9.5% surge in Executive Memberships.
  • Renewal rates held steady at 89.7% worldwide, though the U.S. and Canada saw a marginal 10 bps dip to 92.1%, primarily due to a higher mix of digital sign-ups who historically renew at slightly lower rates.
  • Merchandising highlights were led by Fresh Foods, which saw low-double-digit comp growth driven by Meat and Bakery. Non-food comps rose high-single digits, boosted by treasure hunt items like gold bullion and high-end jewelry, while Food and Sundries grew mid-single digits.
  • Gross margin expanded 17 bps reported to 11.02%, while core-on-core margins rose 22 bps, benefiting from supply chain efficiencies and increased Kirkland Signature penetration. This was partially offset by an SG&A rate that was 13 bps higher yr/yr, impacted by higher general liability reserves and technology investments.
  • Expansion and Digital roadmaps are accelerating, with COST ending the quarter with 924 warehouses. The company expects 28 net new openings in FY26 and is targeting 30+ per year thereafter, utilizing creative real estate solutions like parking decks to enter dense urban markets. Digitally enabled sales jumped 21.7%, bolstered by new personalization carousels that drove $470 mln in e-commerce sales during the quarter.

Briefing.com Analyst Insight:

COST reinforced its status as the Pricing Authority, delivering a clean EPS beat and top-tier comp sales that outpaced the industry. By being the "first to lower prices and the last to raise them," COST is successfully shielding its membership base from inflationary volatility and tariff-related price spikes. The stock's relative strength today reflects investor confidence in COST's high-margin membership engine and its disciplined expansion strategy -- particularly in international markets like China and through "in-fill" locations in the U.S. With a robust $6.5 bln CapEx plan focused on depot expansion and digital modernization, COST is well-positioned to sustain its premium valuation while delivering consistent operating leverage.

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