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Updated: 03-Feb-26 12:21 ET
Fabrinet tumbles despite beat-and-raise report as results clouded by supply hurdles (FN)
Fabrinet (FN) is tumbling lower despite reporting record Q2 results that beat expectations on both the top and bottom lines. While the company delivered a "beat-and-raise" performance, the stock, which is up nearly 130% over the last year, is experiencing significant profit-taking. Despite record revenue of $1.13 bln (+36% yr/yr) and Q3 guidance that exceeded consensus, investors appear to be reacting to persistent supply constraints in datacom and a guidance range that, while strong, failed to reach the blowout levels priced into the valuation with a P/E north of 50x.
  • Optical communications revenue reached $833 mln (+29% yr/yr), fueled by record Telecom sales of $554 mln (+59% yr/yr) and strong demand for 400ZR and 800ZR DCI modules (+42% yr/yr).
  • Non-optical revenue surged 61% to $300 mln, primarily driven by High-Performance Computing (HPC) products, which contributed $86 mln in its first fully broken-out quarter.
  • Datacom revenue grew 2% sequentially to $278 mln, though it remains down 7% yr/yr as the company navigates supply constraints for leading-edge 200 gig per lane lasers.
  • Automotive revenue ($117 mln) grew 12% yr/yr but dipped sequentially as anticipated, while industrial laser revenue showed steady growth of 10% to $41 mln.
  • The 2-million-square-foot Building 10 facility remains on track for late 2026 completion, with a 250,000-square-foot pull-in expected by mid-year to accommodate robust customer demand.

Briefing.com Analyst Insight

FN's Q2 results confirm its position as a primary beneficiary of the AI and data center buildout, yet the stock sell-off suggests that "great" wasn't enough to satisfy a stock that's up 130% yr/yr. The sharp ramp in HPC and record Telecom revenue demonstrate strong execution, but management's warning that HPC growth can be lumpy and the ongoing supply constraints in leading-edge datacom products likely created unease among momentum investors. While the pull-in of Building 10 capacity and the second-source approval for EML lasers are long-term positives, the market is currently recalibrating expectations as the company faces high yr/yr comparisons. Ultimately, FN remains a dominant player in high-precision packaging, but investors are demanding blowout results to justify the current premium.

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