Story Stocks®

Updated: 10-Sep-25 11:05 ET
Oracle: AI-Fueled Bookings Explosion Trumps Lukewarm Q1, Sends Stock Soaring (ORCL)

Oracle shares are surging +41% despite a relatively underwhelming start to FY26. Q1 (Aug) EPS and revenue came in slightly below expectations, and Q2 (Nov) guidance was merely in-line. However, the real story is not near-term execution — it's bookings.

  • Revenue grew 12.2% yr/yr — Oracle's strongest growth in nine quarters — but that headline was overshadowed by explosive demand for its AI infrastructure.
  • The company described its start to FY26 as "amazing," citing major cloud contracts with OpenAI, xAI, Meta, NVIDIA, AMD, and others.
  • Remaining performance obligations (RPO) skyrocketed to $455 bln, up 359% yr/yr and up massively from $138 bln at the end of Q4 (May). Cloud RPO alone grew nearly 500%, building on 83% growth last year.
  • Oracle now expects FY26 capex to hit $35 bln, with most of it going into revenue-generating equipment for new data centers.

Besides RPO growth, what also really jolted investors was Oracle's long-term OCI (Oracle Cloud Infrastructure) guidance, backed by already-booked RPO: FY26: $18 bln FY27: $32 bln FY28: $73 bln FY29: $114 bln FY30: $144 bln. Oracle also anticipates RPO will soon top $0.5 trillion, as more multi-billion-dollar customers come online.

Briefing.com Analyst Insight:
The quarter itself may have been lackluster, but the real story here is bookings — and Oracle just posted one of the most stunning RPO growth metrics we've ever seen. The five-year OCI roadmap shows rare confidence, backed by real contracts, not speculation. While valuation will undoubtedly expand from here, it's clear Oracle is fast becoming a foundational player in AI inferencing, where enterprise-grade data meets cutting-edge compute. For long-term investors, this is no longer your grandfather's Oracle.

Cookies are essential for making our site work. By using our site, you consent to the use of these cookies. Read our cookie policy to learn more.