Story Stocks®

Updated: 05-Nov-25 10:59 ET
McDonald's Sizzles Despite an EPS Miss — Investors Lovin’ the Comps (MCD)

McDonald's (MCD) is trading higher following its Q3 earnings release, as investors look past an EPS miss and in-line revenue to focus on stronger-than-expected same-store sales momentum in both global and U.S. markets.

  • Global comps rose +3.6%, following +3.8% in Q2, marking back-to-back quarters of solid growth.
  • U.S. comps increased +2.4%, fueled by higher average checks and steady traffic gains, sustaining the rebound from -3.6% in Q1.
  • MCD gained traffic share in most top U.S. markets despite ongoing consumer pressure.
  • The company cited a bifurcated consumer base: lower-income traffic down nearly double digits, higher-income traffic up nearly double digits.
  • MCD is leaning on value offerings, including new $5-$8 Extra Value Meals, which account for about 30% of US transactions.
  • Chicken innovation remains a bright spot — the Snack Wraps relaunch at $2.99 drove strong demand, while international products like the Chicken Big Mac (UK) and McC Wings (Australia) outperformed.
  • Management expects consumer headwinds to persist into 2026, but remains confident in its value strategy and menu innovation to sustain momentum.

Briefing.com Analyst Insight:

McDonald's delivered a surprisingly strong quarter beneath the surface, even if the headline EPS miss initially raised eyebrows. Investors are rewarding the stock for consistency — especially after weakness at Chipotle (CMG) highlighted how fragile consumer spending has become. MCD's ability to sustain positive comps across both global and US markets, despite heavy pressure on lower-income consumers, speaks to the strength of its brand, operational execution, and pricing discipline.

Still, we remain cautious on the longer-term outlook. The company's heavy exposure to price-sensitive consumers makes its near-term comps vulnerable if inflation remains sticky. While the return of value meals should help traffic, margin pressure may persist. MCD looks fairly valued — a dependable defensive play, but not a high-growth story at this stage.

Cookies are essential for making our site work. By using our site, you consent to the use of these cookies. Read our cookie policy to learn more.