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Updated: 07-Oct-25 11:01 ET
McCormick Q3 Earnings Top Estimates, But FY25 Outlook Weighs on Stock (MKC)

McCormick is trading lower despite delivering another solid quarterly performance in Q3 (Aug), marking its second consecutive EPS beat after a Q1 miss. Revenue rose 2.7% yr/yr to $1.72 bln, in line with expectations, driven largely by volume growth in the Consumer segment.

  • Consumer segment sales rose 4% (+3% organic) to $973 mln, led by strong US volume gains, expanded Frank's RedHot promotions, new packaging, and innovation in mustard.
  • Flavor Solutions segment grew 1% yr/yr (+1% organic) to $752 mln, overcoming softness in large CPG and foodservice customers with QSR growth in the Americas and Asia Pacific.
  • MKC reaffirmed FY25 revenue guidance at +1-3% in constant currency, but lowered FY25 EPS guidance, citing rising commodity costs and incremental tariffs.
  • Gross margin remained under pressure, especially from increased costs in the lower-margin FS segment.

Macro & Market Commentary: McCormick flagged continued macro challenges, particularly for low to mid-income consumers adjusting their buying habits — more frequent trips, fewer items per basket, and a focus on value. While cooking at home remains a tailwind, competitive pressure (notably in the US Mexican flavor category) and inflationary cost pressures loom large into FY26.

Briefing.com Analyst Insight:

Q3 results were encouraging, but the downward EPS guidance casts a shadow. Investors appear focused on the softer Q4 outlook and signs that headwinds will persist into next year. With a pressured margin profile and tough comps ahead, MKC may stay rangebound despite execution in its core Consumer business.

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