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Updated: 24-Oct-25 10:40 ET
Intel delivers surprise Q3 profit as AI demand lifts core x86 business and PC sales (INTC)
Intel (INTC) easily beat muted Q3 expectations, sparking a sharp rally in the stock as EPS ($0.23 vs. breakeven guide) and revenue ($13.7 bln) topped forecasts. The sizable EPS beat was driven by stronger-than-expected gross margin of 40.0% (vs. 36.0% guidance), a 17% cut in R&D and SG&A expenses, and modest 3% top-line growth. Results were held back somewhat by capacity constraints on Intel 10 and Intel 7 nodes, limiting shipments in both data center and client products.
  • INTC issued downside Q4 EPS guidance of $0.08, with revenue in line at $12.8–$13.8 bln, reflecting a margin drop to 36.5% due to mix, Core Ultra 3 ramp costs, and the deconsolidation of Altera.
  • Client Computing Group (CCG) revenue rose 5% yr/yr to $8.5 bln, helped by a stronger PC TAM, Windows 11 upgrades, and growing AI PC demand. INTC expects continued momentum in 2026 as Core Ultra 3 ramps and PC TAM posts its fastest growth since 2021.
  • Data Center and AI (DCAI) revenue dipped 1% yr/yr to $4.1 bln but rose sequentially, with solid demand for Xeon 6 (Granite Rapids) and AI servers despite supply limits. INTC expects strong sequential growth in Q4 as it prioritizes wafer capacity for server shipments.
  • Foundry revenue fell 2% to $4.2 bln, though operating loss improved by $847 mln to $2.3 bln after an $800 mln impairment last quarter. Foundry revenue should rise sequentially on increased 18A output.
  • CEO Lip-Bu Tan said AI adoption is reviving INTC’s x86 platform, boosting demand across cloud, edge, and inference markets.
  • Tan also highlighted INTC’s new collaboration with NVIDIA (NVDA) linking INTC CPUs with NVDA’s accelerated computing via NVLink, strengthening INTC’s AI positioning.

Briefing.com Analyst Insight:

INTC’s Q3 results mark a clear step forward in its turnaround, powered by margin recovery, cost control, and early AI-driven demand. The softer Q4 outlook is being overshadowed by improving fundamentals and optimism for 2026 as INTC benefits from tighter industry supply and AI tailwinds. CEO Lip-Bu Tan’s strategy to rebuild execution discipline and leverage INTC’s U.S.-based manufacturing footprint is gaining credibility. If execution continues to improve, investor confidence should follow -- though competition and manufacturing yield risks remain key watchpoints. With INTC’s strategic partnership with NVDA and steady progress on its 18A node, the company is positioning itself as a credible contender in the next wave of AI and advanced chip manufacturing.

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