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Updated: 23-Oct-25 10:39 ET
Tesla misses on EPS again as lower ASPs, tariff pressures, and higher AI spending hit profits (TSLA)
Tesla’s (TSLA) Q3 results were a mixed bag: the company returned to top-line growth after two quarters of declines but missed on EPS for the third time in four quarters, pressured by weaker margins, higher operating costs as it ramps AI and robotics, tariff-related expense, and a sharp drop in high-margin regulatory credit revenue. Revenue of $28.09 bln beat expectations, and deliveries were a quarterly record, but the upside in sales was mainly the result of timing (tax-credit pull-forward) rather than a clean reacceleration of organic demand.
  • EPS missed estimates as gross margin fell 185 bps to 18.0%, hurt by lower ASPs, a $400 mln tariff hit, 50% higher opex from AI and robotics investments, and a 44% drop in EV regulatory credits.
  • Revenue rose nearly 12% yr/yr to $28.09 bln, topping expectations and ending a streak of revenue declines.
  • Q3 deliveries of 497,099 jumped 29% qtr/qtr as buyers rushed to capture expiring EV tax credits, setting up a weaker Q4 and 1Q26.
  • Energy generation and storage revenue surged 44% to $3.4 bln, with storage deployments up 81% to 12.5 GWh on strong Megapack and Powerwall demand.
  • TSLA expects Cybercab volume production in 2026 and plans Robotaxi pilot tests in 8-10 metro markets by year-end.
  • Production lines for the Optimus humanoid robot are being installed as TSLA moves toward scaled manufacturing.

Briefing.com Analyst Insight:

TSLA’s top-line rebound was largely driven by timing and not organic demand, while profitability trends moved in the wrong direction. The company’s heavy spending on AI, robotics, and autonomous mobility adds long-term potential but near-term margin risk. With deliveries likely to slow following the tax-credit pull-forward, TSLA’s lofty valuation rests increasingly on successful execution of ambitious projects like Robotaxi and Optimus rather than core vehicle growth. Investors may grow less patient if margin recovery doesn’t materialize quickly, particularly given higher competition from Chinese EV makers. Overall, the Q3 report underscores a transition phase for TSLA -- shifting from a high-growth automaker to a broader AI and robotics platform, but one facing growing execution and valuation challenges.

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