Story Stocks®

Updated: 18-Jun-24 13:45 ET
Patterson Companies gives investors something to smile about after stock got drilled (PDCO)

Shareholders of Patterson Companies (PDCO) haven't had much to smile about this year with the stock down by about 20% on a year-to-date basis entering today's session, but a better-than-feared Q4 earnings report is giving investors something positive to chew on. The dental and animal health product maker and distributor met EPS and revenue expectations, while also issuing in-line FY25 EPS guidance, providing some relief that PDCO expects business to remain stable, despite the persistently high interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainties.

  • Those macro-related headwinds did have an impact in Q4, however. In particular, PDCO's dental equipment business had a tough quarter with internal sales declining by 12% due to soft demand in the CAD/CAM categories. A moderation in equipment spending, combined with unfavorable yr/yr comparisons, weighed on growth.
  • Making matters worse, a major cybersecurity attack at Change Healthcare -- PDCO's claims processing vendor -- resulted in many of the company's dental practices being unable to use Change Healthcare's services. In turn, this created a setback for PDCO's value-added services business, which generates claims management fees through its software integration with Change Healthcare.
    • PDCO noted that the cybersecurity attack caused a $0.04 negative impact to adjusted EPS.
  • Overall, though, revenue for PDCO's Dental segment decreased by just 3.8% as strength in the consumables business helped to offset these issues. On a yr/yr basis, the consumables portfolio delivered growth of nearly 4%, and if the deflationary effect on certain infection control products is excluded, the growth was even stronger at nearly 6%.
  • Turning to Animal Health, internal sales grew by approximately 3%, driven by strength in the production animal business. This segment also achieved operating margin expansion as a result of positive sales mix and disciplined cost management. On a company-wide basis, though, gross margin contracted by 90 bps yr/yr to 21.8%, mainly due to the revenue shortfall in Dental that's related to the cybersecurity incident.
  • Looking beyond the Q4 results, PDCO's long-term strategy remains in place and that plan includes driving above-market revenue growth by expanding its investments in software and value-added services. During the earnings call, the company commented that its investments in FY24 are yielding meaningful progress on the software side.
    • A couple notable examples include the recently introduced Patterson CarePay+, a one-stop-shop for patient financing, dental insurance, and payment solutions, and a recent agreement with Pearl to integrate a pathology detection feature set called Second Opinion into PDCO's practice management software.

The main takeaway is that while PDCO's results weren't necessarily sparkling, they were good enough to provide a strong dose of Novocain with the stock trading near multi-year lows heading into the print.

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