Story Stocks®
Given the fundamental strength of the homebuilding industry and the accompanying stellar performance of homebuilding stocks such as D.R. Horton (DHI), Lennar (LEN), and KB Home (KBH), it's fitting that the first major IPO of 2024 would be a homebuilder. Earlier this morning, Smith Douglas Homes (SDHC) capitalized on the bullish sentiment for homebuilders, pricing its 7.7 mln share IPO at $21/share, the high end of the $18-$21 projected price range. The stock subsequently opened for trading at $23.50, good for a 12% opening pop.
As a Georgia-based company, SDHC's geographic footprint centers on the southeast and southern U.S. with operations in GA, NC, TN, AL, and TX. The company believes that these markets are characterized by favorable attributes and trends, such as strong employment and wage growth, desirable lifestyle and weather, and consistent population growth.
There are a couple notable items that distinguish SDHC from other homebuilders.
- For instance, the company utilizes a "land-light" business model in which it typically purchases finished lots through lot-option contracts from land developers. This reduces its up-front capital needs and SDHC believes this also reduces its financial and operating risks relative to other homebuilders that own a higher percentage of their land supply.
- With more than 93% of SDHC's closings derived from fewer than 30 floor plans, SDHC benefits from a more streamlined approach to construction, resulting in improved economies of scale.
- Therefore, even though its ASPs are much lower than most homebuilders at $333,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, its home closing gross margin is very healthy at 29% for this same period. For a point of comparison, KBH, which report upside Q4 results last night, saw housing gross profit margin decline by 310 bps yr/yr to 20.8% as it lowered prices to improve home affordability.
- Similar to KBH, though, SDHC experienced an upswing in demand as mortgage rates cooled in December. In its IPO prospectus, SDHC estimated that net new home orders spiked by 57% from November. Overall, for the three months ended December 31, 2023, net new home orders jumped by 24% yr/yr to 525 homes.
- Thanks to the favorable industry conditions, including a persistent undersupply of existing homes on the market, and SDHC's land-light business model, the company is comfortably profitable, generating net income of nearly $95 mln for the nine months ended September 30, 2023.
The main takeaway is that it's unsurprising that SDHC's IPO drew healthy demand considering the enthusiasm surrounding homebuilder stocks. Its strong pricing is a positive development for an IPO market that's still trying to fully emerge from a longstanding slump, but more will be needed to generate real momentum. We believe that SDHC will likely perform well as it represents a new opportunity for investors within the hot homebuilding space, and its differentiated attributes such as its more affordable price points and its exposure to strong housing markets in the southeast and southern U.S.