08-Feb-17
13:39 ET |
BLUEX |
Blue Chip Trader - TGT Radar (64.23 +0.66)
• Beaten down Retail is back on my radar today as price shows relative strength lifting above yesterday's high.
• Sitting about -20% off the Nov peak with a narrow consolidation these last 2-1/2 weeks around 63/64 is looking good for a potential bounce/rally.
• Again, note it is an Inside Week candidate from the TA Scans as well. (It didn't qualify as a "Doji Week" accordingly to the scan parameters, but at quick glance I would say it's good enough). • Earnings are scheduled for Feb 28, so potential for a move back to the Nov low/Jan bearish gap between 66/68 could develop.
• No position yet, but I'll be interested if it start to run through mid-upper 64's. Perhaps Selling some OTM Feb or March Puts to collect a premium is worth a look |
08-Feb-17
14:56 ET |
BLUEX |
Blue Chip Trader - TGT Swing Long/Bounce (64.64 +1.07)
• I'm Buying some here mid-64's per my midday notes on its recovery effort and Weekly patterns. Risking about $2.
• Option Buyers consider the March 60 Calls for 4.75 or less. Option Sellers consider the Feb (24 Weekly Exp) 65 Puts to collect a 1.40 premium ahead of earnings. |
09-Feb-17
11:03 ET |
BLUEX |
Blue Chip Trader - TGT Swing Long/Bounce Follow up (65.54 +0.77)
• Retailers climbing back this morning, showing solid "follow-through" to yesterday's turnaround action.
• TGT is good for a +1 point gain so far here at the mid-65's as it clears 2-week highs.
• Long March 60 Calls good for +15%; Short Feb (24 Weekly) 65 Puts +35%.
• Partial profits into strength warranted if you took size.
• Potential resistance around the Nov low and downsloping 20-day ma near 66-level, but if it can clear that, then next stop is the Jan bearish gap zone between 68/70. |
09-Feb-17
14:19 ET |
BLUEX |
Blue Chip Trader - TGT Swing Long Follow Up
• Nice extension back over the multi-month lows along the $66-level here midday, good for a gain of almost +2 points which would equate to our initial risk of $2 and warrant a partial profit if you haven't done so already.
• Long March 60 Calls +30%; Short Feb (24 Weekly) 65 Puts +50%.
• Balance stops should be tightened up to at least this week's current lows around $63.
• Next target remains the Bearish Gap Zone at 66/68 ahead of Feb 28 earnings.
• Also monitor peer Retailers for subtle clues to momentum...WMT, KSS, DDS, M, JCP, JWN, COST, ROST, TJX, XRT, RTH. |
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