September CPI
Updated: 14-Oct-26 09:22 ET



Highlights
  • Total CPI increased 0.6% month-over-month (Briefing.com consensus: 0.6%), led by a 5.2% jump in the energy index, following a 0.4% increase in August. The September increase left total CPI up 3.7% year-over-year versus 3.4% in August.
  • Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, increased 0.3% month-over-month (Briefing.com consensus: 0.2%), pushed by a 0.4% increase in the shelter index, following a 0.3% increase in August. That left core CPI up 2.6% year-over-year versus 2.4% in August.
Highlights
  • Total CPI increased 0.6% month-over-month (Briefing.com consensus: 0.6%), led by a 5.2% jump in the energy index, following a 0.4% increase in August. The September increase left total CPI up 3.7% year-over-year versus 3.4% in August.
  • Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, increased 0.3% month-over-month (Briefing.com consensus: 0.2%), pushed by a 0.4% increase in the shelter index, following a 0.3% increase in August. That left core CPI up 2.6% year-over-year versus 2.4% in August.
Key Factors
  • The food index was flat month-over-month and up 2.5% year-over-year.
  • The energy index was up 5.2% month-over-month and up 20.4% year-over-year.
  • The shelter index was up 0.4% month-over-month and up 3.2% year-over-year. The used cars and trucks index was up 0.7% month-over-month but down 1.5% year-over-year.
  • The apparel index was up 0.3% month-over-month and up 3.4% year-over-year.
  • The services index was up 0.4% month-over-month and up 3.2% year-over-year.
  • The all-items index, less food, shelter, and energy, was up 0.3% month-over-month and up 2.0% year-over-year.
  • Real average hourly earnings on a month-over-month basis for all employees decreased 0.5% month-over-month. From September 2025 to September 2026, real average hourly earnings decreased 0.7%.
Big Picture
  • The key takeaway from the report is the acceleration in inflation away from the Fed's 2.0% inflation target. That is going to accelerate concerns about a possible tightening of Fed policy at the October FOMC meeting, not to mention deficit worries as cost-of-living adjustments for 2027 for SSI recipients are on track to see their largest increase in three years.
Category SEP AUG JUL JUN MAY
All Items 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% -0.4% 0.5%
Food and Beverages 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
Housing 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
Equivalent Rent 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
Apparel 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% -0.6% 0.3%
Transportation 2.5% 1.2% -0.5% -2.5% 1.3%
Vehicles 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% -0.2%
Motor Fuel 9.1% 3.9% -2.9% -9.7% 7.0%
Medical Care 0.1% -0.2% 0.4% -0.1% 0.3%
Educ and Commun 0.2% 1.6% 0.6% -0.8% 0.8%
Special Indices




Core 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
Energy 5.2% 2.1% -1.5% -5.7% 3.9%
Services 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
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