Q3 Productivity-Prel
Updated: 29-Jan-26 09:35 ET

Highlights
  • The revised Q3 productivity report didn't contain any new surprises or changes. The growth rate for Q3 productivity remained at an impressive 4.9% (Briefing.com consensus: 4.9%).
  • Unit labor costs decreased 1.9% (Briefing.com consensus: -1.9%), unchanged from the advance report.
Key Factors
  • The increase in productivity was the result of output increasing 5.4% and hours worked increasing 0.5%. From the same quarter a year ago, nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 1.9%.
  • The increase in unit labor costs stemmed from a 2.9% increase in hourly compensation and a 4.9% increase in productivity.
  • Manufacturing sector labor productivity increased 3.7%, as output increased 3.0% and hours worked decreased 0.7%. Unit labor costs in the total manufacturing sector increased 1.1%, driven by a 4.8% increase in hourly compensation and a 3.7% increase in productivity.
Big Picture
  • With no changes, the key takeaway remained the same: this productivity report is the golden ticket for the economy (and the Fed, per chance), as it reflects strong growth without labor cost inflation.
Category Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3
Nonfarm Business Sector




Productivity Q/Q 4.9% 4.1% -2.1% 0.9% 3.1%
Unit Labor Costs Q/Q -1.9% -3.0% 6.9% 3.8% -1.5%
Productivity Y/Y 1.9% 1.5% 1.2% 1.9% 2.6%
Unit Labor Costs Y/Y 1.2% 2.0% 3.0% 2.6% 2.2%
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