July Consumer Confidence
Updated: 29-Jul-25 10:32 ET

Highlights
  • The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index rose to 97.2 in July (Briefing.com consensus 95.5) from an upwardly revised 95.2 (from 93.0) in June.
  • In the same period a year ago, the index stood at 101.9.
Key Factors
  • The Present Situation Index fell to 131.5 from 133.0.
  • The Expectations Index rose to 74.4 from 78.9, remaining below 80, which is a level that typically signals recession ahead.
  • Average 12-month inflation expectations fell to 5.8% from 5.9%.
Big Picture
  • The key takeaway from the report is that the improvement was driven by an increase in the expectations index, though that index remains below a level that is typically indicative of a recession ahead.
Category JUL JUN MAY APR MAR
Conference Board 97.2 95.2 98.4 85.7 93.9
Expectations 74.4 69.9 73.6 55.4 66.9
Present Situation 131.5 133.0 135.5 131.1 134.4
Employment ('plentiful' less 'hard to get') 11.3 12.2 12.7 13.7 17.5
1 yr inflation expectations 5.8% 5.9% 6.4% 7.0% 6.0%
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