July ISM Manufacturing Index
Updated: 01-Aug-25 10:40 ET







Highlights
  • The July ISM Manufacturing Index checked in at 48.0% for July (Briefing.com consensus: 49.5%), down one percentage point from the 49.0% reading for June.
  • The dividing line between expansion and contraction is 50.0%, so the July figure suggests manufacturing activity contracted at a faster pace than the prior month.
Key Factors
  • The New Orders Index rose to 47.1% from 46.45 in June, logging its sixth straight contraction reading.
  • The Production Index jumped to 51.4% from 50.3% in June.
  • The Prices Index fell to 64.8% from 69.7% in June.
  • The Employment Index decreased to 43.4% from 45.0% in June.
  • The Backlog of Orders Index rose to 46.8% from 44.3% in June.
  • The Supplier Deliveries Index slipped to 49.3% from 54.2% in June.
  • The New Export Orders Index dipped to 46.1% from 46.3% in June.
Big Picture
  • The key takeaway from the report is that 79% of the sector's GDP contracted in July. That is up from 46% in June and suggests the manufacturing sector has not yet seen the benefits of onshoring in response to the tariff actions, which themselves have stoked a good bit of planning uncertainty per the observations of survey respondents.
Category JUL JUN MAY APR MAR
Total Index 48.0 49.0 48.5 48.7 49.0
Orders 47.1 46.4 47.6 47.2 45.2
Production 51.4 50.3 45.4 44.0 48.3
Employment 43.4 45.0 46.8 46.5 44.7
Deliveries 49.3 54.2 56.1 55.2 53.5
Inventories 48.9 49.2 46.7 50.8 53.4
Export Orders 46.1 46.3 40.1 43.1 49.6
Prices paid (not seas adj) 64.8 69.7 69.4 69.8 69.4
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