Bond Market Update

Updated: 16-Oct-26 09:31 ET
Industrial Production Growth Ahead of September Expectations

Data Recon

  • U.S. Treasuries have added to their starting losses with the long end remaining at the forefront of the weakness while the front end has continued resisting some of the pressure.
  • Total industrial production increased 0.7% month-over-month in September, exceeding the 0.4% Briefing.com consensus. The prior month's revised reading showed that production increased 0.1% in August after initially being reported unchanged.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that production strengthened across manufacturing, mining, and utilities, yet capacity utilization remained below its long-run average, signaling firmer output without fully stretched industrial resources.
  • Yield Check:
    • 2-yr: +2 bps to 4.77%
    • 3-yr: +2 bps to 4.86%
    • 5-yr: +4 bps to 4.94%
    • 10-yr: +4 bps to 5.13%
    • 30-yr: +3 bps to 5.46%