Bond Market Update

Updated: 16-Jun-25 14:10 ET
Yields perk up

News Reports

  • Yields have perked up a bit, sitting near their highs for the cash session.
  • CNBC reports that an EU spokesperson said reports suggesting that the EU accepts a U.S. tariff of 10% do not reflect the current state of discussions.
  • Other notable reports today suggest:
    • Iran is working diplomatic channels with an intention of trying to negotiate a ceasefire agreement soon with Israel
    • Punchbowl News reporter Jake Sherman says Senate will put a $10K SALT cap in their version of large reconciliation bill; they see this as a negotiating mark (SALT cap in House version of the bill is $40K)
    • President Trump expressed optimism around a trade deal with Canada after meeting with Prime Minister Mark Carney, according to Politico
    • Senate version of large reconciliation bill will lower Medicaid provider tax to 3.5%; draft of bill expected tonight, according to Politico
    • President Trump will not sign G-7 statement calling for de-escalation between Israel and Iran, although there is some hope that he can be persuaded, according to CNN
  • Yield check:
    • 2-yr: +1 bp to 3.97%
    • 3-yr: +1 bp to 3.93%
    • 5-yr: +1 bp to 4.03%
    • 10-yr: +3 bps to 4.45%
    • 30-yr: +3 bps to 4.95%
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