Bond Market Update

Updated: 31-Dec-24 12:36 ET
Sellers step up with curve-steepening trade

Breakout

  • No sooner had we talked about the market sticking to tight trading ranges that there was a breakout to the upside for longer-dated yields. 
  • There was no news catalyst for the uptick in selling interest that has led to a further steepening in the yield curve. 2s10s spread now 34 basis points after going out yesterday at 30 basis points.
  • Stocks concurrently moved to session lows with the mega-cap stocks pacing the downside for the major indices (Nasdaq -0.5% and S&P 500 -0.2%). Small caps and mid caps continue to exhibit relative strength, but have also moved well off prior session highs.
  • The U.S. Dollar Index continues to strengthen, now up 0.4% to 108.54.
  • Yield check:
    • 2-yr: -1 bp to 4.24%
    • 3-yr: +1 bp to 4.29%
    • 5-yr: +3 bps to 4.40%
    • 10-yr: +3 bps to 4.58%
    • 30-yr: +3 bps to 4.79%
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