Briefing.com


Initial Claims for the Week Ended Aug 28

Updated 02-Sep-10 09:06 ET








Highlights

  • The initial claims level fell from 478,000 for the week ending Aug. 21 to 472,000 for the week ending Aug. 28.
  • The decline was roughly in-line with the Briefing.com forecast of 475,000 new claimants.
  • The continuing claims level remained on a slightly downward trend as claims fell from 4.479 mln for the week ending Aug. 14 to 4.456 mln for the week ending Aug. 21.
  • The Briefing.com consensus called for the continuing claims level to drop to 4.435 mln.

Key Factors

  • As it has been since the middle of November 2009, the initial claims level told the same old story. The labor market remains stuck in place between 450,000 and 500,000 new claimants and growth prospects for breaking out of its malaise seem well off in the distance.
  • Emergency unemployment claims fell from 4.827 mln for the week ending Aug. 7 to 4.546 mln for the week ending Aug. 14. There is nothing in the data that would suggest the decline is the result of an increase in job gains and instead is more likely due to claimants running out of benefits.

Big Picture

  • New claims have dropped below 500,000, but they are still well above the typical levels found during the last recession. As major companies finish their labor restructuring, many of the newly unemployed are coming from smaller businesses. This tends to cause more hardship on Main Street as many of these workers are unprepared for their job loss.

Category Aug 28 Aug 21 Aug 14 Aug 7 Jul 31
Initial Claims 472K 478K 504K 488K 482K
4-Wk Moving Avg 486K 488K 484K 475K 459K
Continued Benefits 4456K 4479K 4515K 4491K
4-Wk Moving Avg 4485K 4514K 4536K 4528K