Highlights
- Existing home sales fell 0.6% from a downwardly revised 4.95 mln (from 4.98 mln) in February to 4.92 mln in March. That is still up 10.3% y/y. The Briefing.com consensus expected existing home sales to increase to 5.01 mln.
Key Factors
- Low supplies continue to constrain sales and to prevent an upward move past the 5.00 mln mark.
- Inventories managed to eke out a small gain, rising 1.6% to 1.93 mln. That represents a 4.7-month supply at the current sales rate, which is down from a 6.2-month supply a year ago. According to the National Association of Realtors, an ideal inventory level is around a 6-month supply.
- Distressed property listings have also dried up. Only 21% of March sales – 13% from foreclosures and 8% from short-sales – came from the distressed sector. That was down from 25% in February and 29% in March 2012.
- The lack of sales of distressed properties – which sell for an average discount between 13% and 15% to a comparative non-distressed home – helped keep upward pressure on median existing home prices. The median home price was up 11.8% y/y in March to $184,300.
Big Picture
- The steady increase in existing home prices should act as an incentive for homeowners to list their home for sale and alleviate the current supply constraints.
| Category | MAR | FEB | JAN | DEC | NOV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Existing Home Sales | 4.92M | 4.95M | 4.94M | 4.90M | 4.96M |
| Months Supply | 4.7 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Median Price Y/Y | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% |





