


Highlights
- Business inventories increased 0.3% in April after falling 0.1% in March. The Briefing.com consensus expected inventory levels to increase 0.2%.
Key Factors
- Inventory growth from manufacturers (0.2%) and merchant wholesalers (0.2%) was known prior to the release. The only new information was that retailer inventories increased 0.4% in April after declining 0.6% in March.
- Retail inventories at motor vehicles and parts dealers rose 0.5% and contributed most of the overall retailer gain.
- Total business sales contracted for a second consecutive month as sales fell 0.1% in April after declining 1.2% in March. The decline in sales suggests that the gain inventories may not have been planned.
- The inventory-to-sales ratio increased to 1.31 in April from 1.30 in March. That is the highest ratio since 2009.
Big Picture
- Business inventories include wholesale inventories, manufacturing inventories, and retail inventories. Inventories are a component of GDP, and thus are of interest to economists, but the financial markets don't pay much attention to this release. Over the long term, the inventory-to-sales ratio has been declining, due to improving techniques for inventory management. Inventories are likely to decline over the near term to bring inventory-to-sales ratios back into line with company desires. Inventories will rise once sales pick up.
| Category | APR | MAR | FEB | JAN | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inventories | 0.3% | -0.1% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Manufacturers | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Retailers | 0.4% | -0.6% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Wholesalers | 0.2% | 0.3% | -0.4% | 1.1% | -0.2% |
| Sales | -0.1% | -1.2% | 1.3% | -0.2% | 0.1% |
| Manufacturers | -0.7% | -1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Retailers | 0.0% | -0.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Wholesalers | 0.5% | -1.4% | 1.3% | -0.9% | 0.3% |
| Inventory/Sales | 1.31 | 1.30 | 1.29 | 1.30 | 1.29 |
| Manufacturers | 1.31 | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| Retailers | 1.41 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.40 |
| Wholesalers | 1.21 | 1.22 | 1.19 | 1.21 | 1.19 |





